How the Government Shutdown & Furloughs Are Impacting the DMV Housing Market
What buyers, sellers and renters in the D.C./Maryland/Virginia (DMV) region need to know now
A Quick Snapshot
The DMV region is especially sensitive to federal workforce changes, given the large number of federal employees, contractors and agencies in the area. With the federal government shut down (or at least funding lapsing) and many workers furloughed or facing job uncertainty, ripple effects are showing up in the housing market. 1
Key Areas of Impact
1. Buyer confidence & purchasing decisions
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Some federal workers and contractors have paused home searches or switched from buying to renting because they’re uncertain about job or paycheck stability. 2
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Government-backed loan programs (which many DMV buyers use) may slow down or face delays when agencies are short-staffed during a shutdown. 3
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New listings are rising, and homes are staying longer on the market in some sub-markets. 4
2. Supply & inventory shifts
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With some sellers delaying listing their homes (because they’re uncertain about where they’ll move or job status), inventory is being affected. At the same time, listings in some areas are increasing as people worry about economic instability. 5
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The increase in inventory puts more choice in the hands of buyers but also creates pressure on sellers to price and market well.
3. Rental market stress
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Multifamily and rental properties in the region are seeing rising concerns: tenants who are federal employees may miss rent payments due to furloughs; voucher payments and other government-administered support may be delayed. 6
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Landlords and property owners are watching this closely because if rent collections drop, there could be knock-on effects on investment properties and new housing supply decisions.
What This Means for You
For Buyers:
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If you’re confident in your job and finances, the current market may offer opportunity, more homes, perhaps better negotiation potential—but make sure you’re comfortable with your employment stability and the loan process.
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Ask your lender how a shutdown or agency delays could affect your timeline or underwriting.
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Consider the potential risk: if your job is tied to the federal government or a contractor, build in some buffer in your budget or contingency plan.
For Sellers:
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Recognize that buyers might be more cautious. Highlight stability, minimize hurdles (inspection, financing contingencies) and be prepared for possibly longer time on market.
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Make sure your pricing and presentation are strong, buyers now have more options and time to compare.
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Emphasize value: low mortgage rates, good condition, location, these matter more when the market slows a bit.
For Renters & Landlords:
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If you’re renting and are a federal employee or contractor, talk with your landlord about possible rent payment plans/contingencies if you are furloughed.
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If you own rental property, have a plan for cash flows if a portion of your tenant base is impacted by the shutdown. Consider lease clauses, reserves, or flexible payment tracking.
In Summary
The DMV housing market has shown resilience, but it’s not immune. A government shutdown or widespread furloughs add uncertainty, which often slows decision-making in real estate. For those with employment and credit stability, this could be a moment of opportunity, but not without caveats. For sellers and landlords, the environment demands extra attention to how the market is shifting and what buyers/tenants are thinking.
If you’d like help navigating the current market (buying or selling) in the DMV area, I’d be happy to talk through your situation and options.
2025 Housing Market Recap: What Trends Defined DC, Maryland & Virginia
Introduction
The 2025 housing market across the D.C., Maryland, and Virginia (DMV) region painted a picture of resilience amid cooling national trends. While rising interest rates and affordability concerns tempered buyer activity, the region’s strong economy, limited inventory, and steady migration kept prices stable — and in some areas, still climbing.
In this post, we’ll break down what shaped the DMV market in 2025, highlight local differences across DC, Maryland, and Virginia, and share insights for homebuyers and sellers heading into 2026.
1. Price Growth Slowed but Stayed Positive Across the Region
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Washington, DC: Median sold price around $640,000, up ~2.4% year-over-year. (Foxes Sell Faster, 2025)
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Maryland: Median home price $450,000, up ~3.3% year-over-year. (Maryland REALTORS® June Report)
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Virginia (Northern VA): Median sold price near $670,000, up about 3–4%, driven by Fairfax, Arlington, and Loudoun counties. (Bright MLS 2025 Snapshot)
📊 Takeaway:
Home prices across the DMV continued to inch upward — not the explosive growth of 2021–2022, but steady and sustainable. This stability shows that the region’s fundamentals (strong job base, limited land, and high desirability) are still in play.
2. Inventory Eased Slightly — but Supply Remains Tight
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Maryland: New listings dropped 18% year-over-year, keeping competition strong for well-priced homes.
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Northern Virginia: Active listings increased modestly (~4%), giving buyers a bit more room to negotiate, but total supply is still below pre-pandemic levels.
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DC: Slight uptick in listings, but the market remains competitive, especially inside the Beltway.
📉 Takeaway:
Inventory is improving slowly, but it’s still a seller-favored market overall. Well-priced homes sell faster; overpriced or poorly staged listings linger longer.
3. More Balanced Negotiations & Price Adjustments
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About 28% of DC listings saw price cuts in 2025 — up from 20% the year prior.
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In Maryland and Virginia, price reductions occurred in over 40% of listings, suggesting more flexibility for buyers.
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Average days on market stretched to ~35–40 days in many DMV submarkets.
🤝 Takeaway:
The power dynamic is shifting slightly toward buyers. Sellers still have leverage, but gone are the days of bidding wars on every property. Negotiation strategy now matters more than ever.
4. Buyer Behavior: Cautious, but Ready When the Right Home Appears
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Mortgage rates remained in the 6.5–7% range most of the year, keeping some buyers on the sidelines.
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Despite that, pending sales in Maryland and Virginia rose modestly in late 2025 — a sign that pent-up demand is waiting for rate relief.
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First-time buyers and move-up buyers are especially active in the $400K–$700K range across Prince George’s, Montgomery, and Fairfax counties.
🔑 Takeaway:
Buyers are choosier but serious. They’re looking for turnkey homes, fair pricing, and clear value.
5. Policy & Local Market Factors to Watch
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Montgomery County’s “Missing Middle” housing law (passed 2025) may increase smaller multi-unit builds, expanding affordability options.
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Virginia continues to attract relocation buyers from DC seeking more space and favorable taxes. Loudoun and Prince William counties lead in new construction.
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DC zoning changes under review may modestly boost accessory dwelling units (ADUs) and multi-family conversions in 2026.
🏗️ Takeaway:
Local policy changes are quietly reshaping the housing mix. Expect gradual growth in supply over the next few years — but it won’t be enough to cause price drops across the DMV.
6. Forecast for 2026
Here’s what to expect moving forward:
| Trend | Outlook | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Prices | +3% to +5% growth region-wide | Favorable for sellers; buyers should act before spring 2026 competition rises. |
| Mortgage Rates | Expected to edge down slightly if inflation cools | May release pent-up buyer demand. |
| Inventory | Slowly improving but still below normal | Well-maintained homes will continue to sell faster. |
| Buyer Demand | Gradual rebound | Especially strong in Maryland suburbs and Northern Virginia. |
Final Thoughts
2025 proved the DMV real estate market is resilient, adaptable, and still moving forward.
For sellers, strategic pricing and presentation are key. For buyers, patience and preparation pay off — as more homes hit the market in 2026, opportunities will expand.